Flannel-ready fall forecast for San Jose, CA

Prepare for fall weather in San Jose, CA, with these seasonal temperature and precipitation outlooks.

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We love seeing the leaves change + the decor go up at History Park in the fall.

Photo by SJtoday staff

We know the question on your mind, fellow San Joseans — when’s the summer heat going to shuffle out? Thanks to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center , we know what temperatures and precipitation trends to expect in the great 408 for September, October, and November.

While exact weather conditions typically can’t be predicted more than a week in advance, here’s a seasonal outlook to help you prepare for what fall will bring.

Reminder: The first day of fall is on Saturday, Sept. 23.

The seasonal temperature outlook for this fall.

Screenshot via NOAA

🌡️ Temperature

Summer weather may be extending its stay. This fall, San Jose has a 33-40% chance of temperatures being higher than normal.

🌨️ Precipitation

Expect slight precipitation. Trends point to a typical amount of rainfall for SJ this fall.

September

This month marks the transition from summer to fall, but toastier temperatures may stick around. The average high of 81.9°F in August cools ever so slightly to an average high of 79.7°F and a low of 55.6°F this month.

October

Come spooky season, it cools a bit more. You can expect an average high of 72.7°F and a low of 52.7°F — so prepare to pack a light jacket for the kiddos on Halloween night.

November

There will be a noticeable drop in temperature as the fall closes with an average high of 63.9°F and a low of 47.3°F. Despite a shrinking window of daylight, get ready for the festive lights and displays of Christmas in the Park coming at the end of this month.

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Alyson is based in San Jose, CA, and helped launch SJtoday in February 2022. She graduated from San Jose State, where she reported on the city’s arts + culture scene for her alma mater’s paper, The Spartan Daily. You can find her scouting new South Bay eateries or thrifting around town.
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